Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 0
BLA
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
MAC
20%
27%
53%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 0
THE
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 1
ALB
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MIT
0 - 0
MAC
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grulla Morioka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
ZWE
2 - 1
GRU
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 3
YOK
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MIT
3 - 0
GRU
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
OMI
0 - 1
GRU
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
GRU
0 - 4
VVA
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |