Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
23.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
KYO
2 - 1
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
SAG
56%
26%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
MIT
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 1
MAC
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
EHI
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 0
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
NAG
1 - 0
FAG
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FAG
0 - 1
THE
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ZWE
0 - 0
FAG
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 3
VEN
28%
29%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |