Machico vs AR São Martinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
6 - 1
MAC
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FEL
4 - 0
MAC
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 2
BAR
36%
23%
42%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAC
75%
15%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 0
SMA
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
SMA
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 2
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 2
FEL
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
MER
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |