Macedo Cavaleiros vs Santa Marta Penaguião analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedo Cavaleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
BSC
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAC
26%
22%
53%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SIN
1 - 1
MAC
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 1
AMA
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
FOR
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Marta Penaguião
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SMP
0 - 1
VIL
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
5 - 0
SMP
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SMP
0 - 1
MIR
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SMP
0 - 3
CAM
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 0
SMP
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |