Carioca 1 Ronda de Descenso. Jor. 6

Macaé Esporte vs Nova Iguaçu analysis

Macaé Esporte Nova Iguaçu
44 ELO 46
0.4% Tilt -9.8%
21917º General ELO ranking 2691º
542º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
50%
Macaé Esporte
24.2%
Draw
25.8%
Nova Iguaçu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
Macaé Esporte
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.8%
Win probability
Nova Iguaçu
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macaé Esporte
-12%
+23%
Nova Iguaçu

ELO progression

Macaé Esporte
Nova Iguaçu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macaé Esporte
Macaé Esporte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2019
GOY
Goytacaz
1 - 2
Macaé Esporte
MAC
36%
27%
37%
45 41 4 0
13 Feb. 2019
MAC
Macaé Esporte
1 - 1
América RJ
AME
43%
26%
32%
45 48 3 0
02 Feb. 2019
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 2
Macaé Esporte
MAC
43%
27%
31%
44 44 0 +1
26 Jan. 2019
MAC
Macaé Esporte
0 - 0
Goytacaz
GOY
51%
24%
24%
44 43 1 0
19 Jan. 2019
AME
América RJ
0 - 0
Macaé Esporte
MAC
60%
22%
18%
44 48 4 0

Matches

Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2019
AME
América RJ
0 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
57%
23%
21%
43 48 5 0
13 Feb. 2019
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 0
Goytacaz
GOY
45%
27%
28%
43 42 1 0
02 Feb. 2019
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 2
Macaé Esporte
MAC
43%
27%
31%
44 44 0 -1
27 Jan. 2019
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 0
América RJ
AME
34%
27%
40%
43 48 5 +1
21 Jan. 2019
GOY
Goytacaz
1 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
40%
26%
34%
43 42 1 0
X