Macaé Esporte vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 1
MAC
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
TIG
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
BOA
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
BON
1 - 1
MAC
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
VAS
3 - 0
MAC
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 0
CAB
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAB
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAB
3 - 0
FRI
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CAB
2 - 0
RES
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |