Macaé Esporte vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
IFC
4 - 2
MAC
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 2
IFC
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 1
MAC
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
MAC
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
IFC
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 2
BRA
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
MAC
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAD
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |