Rio Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Macaé Esporte vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 2
MAC
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
MAC
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 1
CMA
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 2
AME
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
AME
4 - 0
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +3 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
ADC
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
OLA
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |