Maltby Main vs Squires Gate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maltby Main
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 2
FRI
13%
18%
70%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
187
1 - 2
MAL
69%
18%
14%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
MAL
3 - 2
ASH
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ASH
2 - 2
MAL
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 4
CON
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Squires Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
SQU
2 - 4
BAR
22%
22%
56%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
SQU
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
SQU
2 - 3
BAM
14%
19%
68%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAM
2 - 2
SQU
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BOO
2 - 1
SQU
82%
13%
5%
|
11 | 54 | 43 | 0 |