Estonia Third Division East / North Round 25

Maardu II vs Joker analysis

Maardu II Joker
31 ELO 38
6.7% Tilt 7.3%
30100º General ELO ranking 27364º
214º Country ELO ranking 137º
ELO win probability
31.6%
Maardu II
19.9%
Draw
48.4%
Joker

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
Maardu II
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
48.5%
Win probability
Joker
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maardu II
-1%
-26%
Joker

ELO progression

Maardu II
Joker
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maardu II
Maardu II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2018
MRU
Maardu United
0 - 0
Maardu II
MST
68%
16%
16%
31 38 7 0
07 Oct. 2018
MST
Maardu II
5 - 1
Tartu Santos II
TFC
66%
17%
18%
30 26 4 +1
30 Sep. 2018
FCA
Ararat
1 - 0
Maardu II
MST
45%
20%
36%
32 28 4 -2
22 Sep. 2018
MST
Maardu II
4 - 2
JK Piraaja
PIR
77%
14%
10%
31 23 8 +1
16 Sep. 2018
TIN
FCI Tallinn
6 - 2
Maardu II
MST
89%
8%
3%
31 62 31 0

Matches

Joker
Joker
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2018
PTV
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
5 - 1
Joker
JOK
55%
22%
24%
38 43 5 0
06 Oct. 2018
NOO
Jogeva SK Noorus 96
0 - 0
Joker
JOK
52%
20%
28%
39 38 1 -1
30 Sep. 2018
JOK
Joker
3 - 4
Sillamäe Kalev
SIK
14%
18%
68%
39 52 13 0
23 Sep. 2018
KJK
JK Järve II
1 - 0
Joker
JOK
12%
15%
73%
40 26 14 -1
16 Sep. 2018
JKN
Trans II
3 - 0
Joker
JOK
45%
23%
32%
41 42 1 -1