Estonia Third Division East / North Round 20

Maardu II vs Ararat analysis

Maardu II Ararat
30 ELO 20
4.2% Tilt 2.5%
30094º General ELO ranking 27164º
214º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
76.8%
Maardu II
13.3%
Draw
10%
Ararat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
Maardu II
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.9%
Win probability
Ararat
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maardu II
-20%
-80%
Ararat

ELO progression

Maardu II
Ararat
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maardu II
Maardu II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2017
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
4 - 2
Maardu II
MST
80%
12%
9%
31 39 8 0
27 Aug. 2017
VOR
Võru
0 - 0
Maardu II
MST
63%
18%
19%
30 36 6 +1
19 Aug. 2017
KJK
JK Järve II
1 - 3
Maardu II
MST
10%
15%
76%
30 15 15 0
13 Aug. 2017
MST
Maardu II
5 - 1
Maardu United
MRU
55%
20%
25%
29 28 1 +1
06 Aug. 2017
TDU
Tallinna Dünamo
5 - 0
Maardu II
MST
38%
22%
41%
30 25 5 -1

Matches

Ararat
Ararat
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2017
FCA
Ararat
3 - 3
Narva United
NAR
11%
14%
76%
20 39 19 0
27 Aug. 2017
FCA
Ararat
1 - 3
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
12%
16%
73%
20 39 19 0
19 Aug. 2017
VOR
Võru
2 - 0
Ararat
FCA
78%
14%
8%
21 36 15 -1
13 Aug. 2017
FCA
Ararat
1 - 0
JK Järve II
KJK
86%
9%
5%
20 15 5 +1
05 Aug. 2017
MRU
Maardu United
2 - 0
Ararat
FCA
72%
15%
13%
21 27 6 -1