Esiliiga Normal Season Round 6

Maardu FC vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis

Maardu FC Vaprus Pärnu
52 ELO 52
42.5% Tilt 29.2%
756º General ELO ranking 2190º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
51.7%
Maardu FC
21.4%
Draw
26.9%
Vaprus Pärnu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
Maardu FC
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.9%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maardu FC
+8%
+11%
Vaprus Pärnu

ELO progression

Maardu FC
Vaprus Pärnu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maardu FC
Maardu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2020
MAA
Maardu FC
1 - 0
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
36%
24%
40%
50 62 12 0
07 Jun. 2020
FCE
FC Elva
0 - 2
Maardu FC
MAA
52%
22%
26%
49 53 4 +1
04 Jun. 2020
MAA
Maardu FC
3 - 1
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
51%
21%
28%
47 49 2 +2
31 May. 2020
MAA
Maardu FC
5 - 0
Tammeka II
TAM
29%
21%
50%
45 54 9 +2
24 May. 2020
NOM
Nõmme United
5 - 0
Maardu FC
MAA
80%
12%
9%
46 58 12 -1

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu
Vaprus Pärnu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2020
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
7 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
80%
12%
8%
52 41 11 0
08 Jun. 2020
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
1 - 1
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
FCP
58%
21%
21%
52 51 1 0
04 Jun. 2020
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
0 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
75%
14%
11%
51 62 11 +1
30 May. 2020
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
4 - 1
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
51%
21%
28%
50 51 1 +1
23 May. 2020
KEI
Keila JK
3 - 3
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
35%
22%
43%
51 47 4 -1