Maardu FC vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2020 |
MAA
1 - 0
FLO
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
FCE
0 - 2
MAA
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2020 |
MAA
3 - 1
VAN
51%
21%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2020 |
MAA
5 - 0
TAM
29%
21%
50%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2020 |
NOM
5 - 0
MAA
80%
12%
9%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
PAR
7 - 0
JKJ
80%
12%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
FCP
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2020 |
FLO
0 - 1
PAR
75%
14%
11%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 1
VAN
51%
21%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2020 |
KEI
3 - 3
PAR
35%
22%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |