Maardu FC vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
TJK
0 - 4
MAA
5%
12%
83%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
MAA
3 - 2
FHT
91%
6%
3%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
LEL
1 - 6
MAA
2%
6%
92%
|
64 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 0
MAA
21%
20%
58%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MAA
1 - 1
TAL
60%
21%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 2
PAI
11%
16%
73%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
KOH
0 - 5
PAI
3%
8%
89%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
PAI
6 - 0
HLA
88%
8%
3%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 2
PAI
5%
11%
84%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
PAI
11 - 1
KOH
91%
7%
2%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |