Lyss vs Thierrens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SEC
2 - 1
LYS
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LYS
1 - 1
BUL
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 1
LYS
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LYS
1 - 3
FAR
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
COL
3 - 0
LYS
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
THI
3 - 1
LOC
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TPA
1 - 1
THI
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BER
0 - 3
THI
24%
22%
53%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
THI
1 - 3
SEC
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BUL
2 - 1
THI
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |