Lyon-Duchère vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
OLY
3 - 0
LYO
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
LYO
1 - 0
ROD
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIO
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
NIO
0 - 1
FCG
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 1
CAN
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
CAE
2 - 1
NIO
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
NIO
4 - 3
LMU
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |