Luziânia vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
LUZ
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 2
DOM
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GAM
0 - 1
LUZ
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LUZ
1 - 2
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
LUZ
73%
17%
9%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
CEI
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | +1 |