Challenge League Round 14

Luzern vs YF Juventus analysis

Luzern YF Juventus
62 ELO 50
12.4% Tilt 28.4%
277º General ELO ranking 4581º
Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
72.5%
Luzern
16.9%
Draw
10.6%
YF Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
Luzern
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.6%
Win probability
YF Juventus
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-5%
+8%
YF Juventus

ELO progression

Luzern
YF Juventus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2005
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 2
Luzern
FCL
37%
25%
38%
62 61 1 0
16 Oct. 2005
CHI
Chiasso
1 - 1
Luzern
FCL
37%
25%
38%
62 62 0 0
01 Oct. 2005
FCL
Luzern
5 - 1
La Chaux-de-Fonds
LAC
61%
21%
18%
61 56 5 +1
23 Sep. 2005
FCL
Luzern
1 - 0
AC Bellinzona
BEL
62%
21%
17%
61 53 8 0
10 Sep. 2005
LOC
Locarno
1 - 4
Luzern
FCL
38%
25%
37%
60 59 1 +1

Matches

YF Juventus
YF Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2005
YFJ
YF Juventus
1 - 3
Chiasso
CHI
29%
25%
46%
51 62 11 0
14 Oct. 2005
YFJ
YF Juventus
1 - 1
Locarno
LOC
37%
26%
38%
50 57 7 +1
30 Sep. 2005
BAD
Baden
3 - 1
YF Juventus
YFJ
42%
24%
33%
51 48 3 -1
24 Sep. 2005
LAU
Lausanne Sports
1 - 3
YF Juventus
YFJ
81%
13%
6%
50 68 18 +1
10 Sep. 2005
YFJ
YF Juventus
1 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
19%
23%
58%
49 65 16 +1