Luzern vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
8º
4º
32
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 3
FCL
36%
25%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCL
3 - 1
LUG
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FCL
3 - 3
STG
31%
23%
46%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCL
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 0
STG
17%
19%
64%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
WIN
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 0
SIO
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 0
GCZ
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZUR
0 - 0
WIN
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |