Luzern vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCL
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STG
4 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SIO
1 - 1
STG
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
STG
1 - 1
YOB
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |