Luzern vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCL
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
FCL
5 - 0
DEL
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
KRI
3 - 3
FCL
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2003 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCV
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
STG
1 - 0
SIO
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
STG
1 - 0
FCV
65%
19%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2003 |
STG
6 - 1
KRI
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
DEL
1 - 4
STG
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 0
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |