Super League round 12

Luzern vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Luzern Neuchâtel Xamax
78 ELO 70
13.4% Tilt 6.1%
261º General ELO ranking 1667º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
71.2%
Luzern
18.3%
Draw
10.5%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
Luzern
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.5%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-3%
-9%
Neuchâtel Xamax

ELO progression

Luzern
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2011
LAN
Lancy FC
1 - 3
Luzern
FCL
8%
15%
76%
79 43 36 0
02 Oct. 2011
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
65%
19%
16%
79 84 5 0
25 Sep. 2011
FCL
Luzern
2 - 0
Sion
SIO
51%
24%
25%
78 79 1 +1
22 Sep. 2011
SER
Servette
0 - 2
Luzern
FCL
36%
26%
38%
78 70 8 0
18 Sep. 2011
LSS
Losone Sportiva
0 - 3
Luzern
FCL
7%
14%
78%
78 29 49 0

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2011
KRI
SC Kriens
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
21%
24%
56%
70 51 19 0
01 Oct. 2011
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
4 - 0
Thun
THU
39%
26%
34%
69 75 6 +1
25 Sep. 2011
GCZ
Grasshopper
0 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
62%
23%
15%
68 76 8 +1
21 Sep. 2011
YOB
Young Boys
4 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
79%
15%
7%
69 84 15 -1
18 Sep. 2011
CHU
Chur 97
1 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
16%
21%
63%
69 25 44 0