Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
STG
1 - 1
FCL
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
TOS
1 - 2
FCL
8%
16%
76%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
26%
24%
51%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCL
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCA
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 2
STG
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 3
FCA
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 0
SIO
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |