Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 2
ALT
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 1
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
KRI
2 - 1
FCL
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
NEX
84%
12%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
LAU
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
55%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
76%
15%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
41%
23%
36%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |