Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
44%
28%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCL
1 - 2
GCZ
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
STG
1 - 0
FCL
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
STG
3 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 2
GCZ
30%
26%
43%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |