Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
35%
30%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCL
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 0
NEX
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
GCZ
4 - 1
FCL
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
FCL
2 - 1
ZUR
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
BAS
3 - 1
SIO
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
SIO
0 - 0
BAS
52%
25%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 1
YOB
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |