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Switzerland Fourth Division. Matchday 16

Luzern II Wohlen
15 ELO 16
98% Tilt -2%
6109º General ELO ranking 5674º
47º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
74.4%
Luzern II
14.7%
Draw
10.9%
Wohlen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
Luzern II
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.9%
Win probability
Wohlen
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern II
+46%
+43%
Wohlen

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biel-Bienne
25
50
15%
Baden
22
48
17%
Solothurn
17
49
15%
Langenthal
16
43
11%
Wohlen
16
39
8%
Luzern II
15
39
8%
Bassecourt
13
36
7%
Zug 94
13
31
10º
8%
Delemont
12
39
7%
Grasshoppers II
10º
9
33
8%
Schotz
11º
8
29
11º
9%
Buochs
12º
8
24
13º
11%
Muttenz
13º
8
27
12º
11%
Goldau
14º
3
18
14º
25%
Expected probabilities
Luzern II
Wohlen
Champion
8% 8%
Promotion playoffs
8% 8%
Mid-table
73% 73%
Relegation
11% 10%

ELO progression

Wohlen
WOH
Luzern II
LUZ
Goldau
GOL
Grasshoppers II
GRA
Bassecourt
BAS
Biel-Bienne
BIE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern II
Luzern II
1%
X%
2%
ELO LUZ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
LUZ
Luzern II
5 - 1
Buochs
BUO
47%
27%
26%
209 150 59 +1
17 Oct. 2020
MUT
Muttenz
2 - 2
Luzern II
LUZ
44%
27%
29%
209 119 -90 0
03 Oct. 2020
LUZ
Luzern II
3 - 1
Delemont
DEL
45%
27%
28%
208 245 -37 +1
27 Sep. 2020
LAN
Langenthal
3 - 1
Luzern II
LUZ
42%
28%
31%
209 98 -111 -1
20 Sep. 2020
LUZ
Luzern II
2 - 1
Zug 94
ZUG
47%
27%
26%
209 151 58 +1

Matches

Wohlen
Wohlen
1%
X%
2%
ELO WOH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
WOH
Wohlen
3 - 1
Zug 94
ZUG
47%
27%
26%
228 149 79 +1
18 Oct. 2020
BIE
Biel-Bienne
3 - 0
Wohlen
WOH
45%
27%
28%
230 192 -38 -1
10 Oct. 2020
WOH
Wohlen
4 - 1
Hongg
HON
47%
27%
26%
227 149 78 +3
03 Oct. 2020
WOH
Wohlen
2 - 2
Grasshoppers II
GRA
47%
27%
26%
227 160 67 0
26 Sep. 2020
WOH
Wohlen
1 - 0
Solothurn
SOL
47%
27%
26%
226 177 49 +1