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Switzerland Fourth Division. Matchday 19

Luzern II vs Schotz analysis

Luzern II Schotz
14 ELO 19
78% Tilt 91%
8328º General ELO ranking 7536º
58º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
50.4%
Luzern II
18.9%
Draw
30.7%
Schotz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
Luzern II
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
30.7%
Win probability
Schotz
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern II
+109%
+70%
Schotz

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Solothurn
66
66
100%
Munsingen
51
51
100%
Black Stars
48
48
50%
Luzern II
48
48
50%
Buochs
45
45
100%
Grasshoppers II
40
40
100%
Schotz
35
35
100%
Zug 94
33
33
50%
Delemont
33
33
50%
Baden
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Langenthal
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Bassecourt
12º
21
21
12º
100%
FC Sursee
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Kickers Luzern
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Luzern II
Schotz
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Schotz
SCH
Luzern II
LUZ
Kickers Luzern
LUZ
Grasshoppers II
GRA
Bassecourt
BAS
Munsingen
MUN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern II
Luzern II
1%
X%
2%
ELO LUZ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2018
DEL
Delemont
3 - 1
Luzern II
LUZ
47%
27%
26%
205 253 48 0
24 Mar. 2018
LUZ
Luzern II
5 - 0
Baden
BAD
46%
27%
27%
205 232 -27 +2
10 Mar. 2018
LUZ
Luzern II
2 - 1
FC Sursee
FCS
49%
26%
25%
204 85 119 +1
03 Mar. 2018
BLA
Black Stars
0 - 3
Luzern II
LUZ
46%
27%
27%
203 192 -11 +1
14 Feb. 2018
HON
Hongg
0 - 0
Luzern II
LUZ
46%
27%
27%
203 156 -47 -1

Matches

Schotz
Schotz
1%
X%
2%
ELO SCH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2018
SCH
Schotz
3 - 3
Buochs
BUO
49%
26%
25%
257 150 107 0
17 Mar. 2018
BAD
Baden
2 - 4
Schotz
SCH
46%
27%
27%
255 233 -22 +1
14 Mar. 2018
DEL
Delemont
1 - 5
Schotz
SCH
45%
27%
28%
254 254 0 +2
10 Mar. 2018
SCH
Schotz
2 - 0
Zug 94
ZUG
47%
27%
26%
253 180 73 +1
31 Jan. 2018
SCH
Schotz
4 - 1
Kriens
KRI
39%
28%
33%
202 445 -243 +51