Luxembourg U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
82%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 2
ISL
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
SWE
4 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
LUX
2 - 1
ARM
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LUX
0 - 3
SWE
5%
13%
82%
|
29 | 70 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
ARM
2 - 0
LUX
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ISL
1 - 2
ITA
18%
22%
61%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
IRL
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
SWE
3 - 0
ITA
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 1
SVN
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
6 - 0
ARM
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |