Luverdense vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
URO
0 - 0
LUV
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
LUV
1 - 2
BRA
33%
26%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
DBO
3 - 2
LUV
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
1 - 0
DBO
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
NME
2 - 0
LUV
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
ACA
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
URO
0 - 1
NME
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
NME
1 - 0
URO
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
NME
2 - 0
LUV
32%
23%
45%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
0 - 0
NME
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |