Copa Verde . Last 16
Global 4-1
Luverdense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
LUV
71%
21%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CEC
2 - 2
LUV
12%
23%
65%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
LUV
0 - 2
COR
23%
26%
52%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUV
21%
25%
55%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
LUV
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUV
21%
25%
55%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 3
CEI
32%
26%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |