Luton Town vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
STO
3 - 0
LUT
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
LUT
0 - 2
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 1
LUT
34%
27%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LUT
1 - 1
HUR
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BBU
1 - 0
LUT
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 0
WYC
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 0
BIR
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
REA
1 - 2
MIL
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
4 - 1
SHW
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 0
NOR
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |