Luton Town vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 2
LUT
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LUT
2 - 2
WBA
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 3
LUT
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
4 - 1
LUT
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
LUT
1 - 1
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BIR
1 - 1
LEI
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LEE
3 - 2
BIR
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
BIR
4 - 1
WRE
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BIR
2 - 2
IPS
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
QPR
0 - 2
BIR
32%
30%
39%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |