Lutlommel vs Wellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutlommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LUT
1 - 2
LYR
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MER
4 - 0
LUT
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LUT
1 - 1
ZWA
33%
24%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
HAD
7 - 0
LUT
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LUT
1 - 1
WIT
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 2
ZON
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 2
WEL
18%
21%
62%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WEL
0 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
KVT
3 - 2
WEL
23%
25%
53%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 0
HEL
72%
17%
10%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |