Lusitano VRSA vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALJ
2 - 0
LUS
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 1
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
QUA
1 - 0
LUS
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 0
LUS
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
LOU
81%
14%
5%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
QUA
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
LOU
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 1
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
LOU
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |