Taça de Portugal . Last 16
Global 1-4
Lusitânia vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 2
LUS
89%
8%
4%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
LUS
0 - 3
SPB
18%
20%
62%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1964 |
LUS
2 - 2
FER
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
FER
1 - 3
LUS
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1967 |
MAR
0 - 3
LEX
61%
18%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
LEX
1 - 1
MAR
52%
20%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
MAR
1 - 3
VST
45%
22%
33%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
VST
3 - 0
MAR
67%
16%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
MAR
7 - 0
CSM
71%
15%
14%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |