Lusitânia vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 4
LUS
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LUS
3 - 0
AGU
84%
11%
4%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 2
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LUS
3 - 1
SCG
71%
17%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 0
LUS
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IDE
1 - 3
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IDE
2 - 0
FAY
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 5
IDE
10%
18%
72%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
IDE
0 - 1
PRA
25%
24%
52%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 0
IDE
20%
22%
57%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |