Lusitânia vs Águia CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 2
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LUS
3 - 1
SCG
71%
17%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 0
LUS
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 0
BOA
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MIC
1 - 1
LUS
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Águia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 5
IDE
10%
18%
72%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 2
AGU
80%
13%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
AGU
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 3
PRA
10%
18%
72%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SCG
2 - 0
AGU
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |