Lusitania FC vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
VSC
2 - 0
LUS
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 1
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
LUS
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
AMA
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
PEV
52%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
FEL
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 2
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FEL
0 - 0
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |