Third Division Malta Normal Season Round 17

Luqa St. Andrew's vs Gharghur analysis

Luqa St. Andrew's Gharghur
41 ELO 43
-6.8% Tilt -5.4%
4604º General ELO ranking 6809º
31º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
37.2%
Luqa St. Andrew's
25.9%
Draw
36.9%
Gharghur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.9%
Win probability
Gharghur
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luqa St. Andrew's
+1%
-36%
Gharghur

Points and table prediction

Luqa St. Andrew's
Their league position
Gharghur
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
13º
31
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Senglea Athletic
53
53
100%
Mgarr United FC
50
50
100%
Zabbar St. Patrick
48
48
100%
Msida St Joseph
43
43
100%
Kalkara
36
36
100%
Luqa St. Andrew's
33
33
100%
Xghajra Tornados
32
32
100%
Gharghur
31
31
0%
Rabat Ajax
31
31
0%
Kirkop United
10º
29
29
10º
0%
St. Georges FC
11º
29
29
11º
0%
Birzebbuga St. Peters FC
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Ghaxaq
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Qormi FC
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Pembroke Athleta
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Mellieha
16º
16
16
16º
100%
St. Venera
17º
14
14
17º
100%
Siggiewi
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Dingli Swallows
19º
9
9
19º
100%
Mdina Knights
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Ta' Xbiex
21º
1
1
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Luqa St. Andrew's
Gharghur
Promotion
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Luqa St. Andrew's
Gharghur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luqa St. Andrew's
Luqa St. Andrew's
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
GHA
Ghaxaq
1 - 1
Luqa St. Andrew's
LUQ
21%
22%
57%
40 28 12 0
26 Feb. 2023
LUQ
Luqa St. Andrew's
1 - 0
Siggiewi
SIG
73%
17%
11%
40 28 12 0
11 Feb. 2023
KIR
Kirkop United
0 - 1
Luqa St. Andrew's
LUQ
38%
24%
39%
39 36 3 +1
05 Feb. 2023
LUQ
Luqa St. Andrew's
2 - 2
Dingli Swallows
DIN
79%
14%
8%
39 23 16 0
22 Jan. 2023
MSI
Msida St Joseph
2 - 1
Luqa St. Andrew's
LUQ
53%
23%
24%
40 41 1 -1

Matches

Gharghur
Gharghur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
GHA
Gharghur
3 - 1
Siggiewi
SIG
78%
14%
8%
42 28 14 0
25 Feb. 2023
DIN
Dingli Swallows
1 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
14%
19%
68%
42 23 19 0
11 Feb. 2023
GHA
Gharghur
4 - 0
Mdina Knights
MDI
87%
9%
4%
42 21 21 0
05 Feb. 2023
RAB
Rabat Ajax
1 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
50%
24%
26%
42 43 1 0
21 Jan. 2023
GHA
Gharghur
0 - 0
Ghaxaq
GHA
80%
13%
7%
41 27 14 +1