Luján vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
CCO
1 - 0
LUJ
62%
23%
15%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
LUJ
1 - 1
MID
54%
25%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 2
LUJ
51%
26%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
JUU
0 - 2
LUJ
61%
23%
16%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
LUJ
2 - 0
JJU
33%
27%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
CAD
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
EXC
68%
21%
11%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
LAM
59%
23%
18%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
SMG
46%
27%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
LAF
0 - 0
EXC
75%
17%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |