Luján vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
LUJ
1 - 1
ALE
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
LUJ
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
LUJ
1 - 4
LAF
40%
27%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIC
0 - 1
LUJ
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LUJ
0 - 2
CLA
42%
27%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ARM
4 - 1
VIC
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CLA
1 - 2
ARM
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
ARM
2 - 0
CAA
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 1
ARM
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ARM
3 - 2
LIN
51%
24%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |