Luján vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 0
LUJ
23%
26%
51%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
LUJ
1 - 2
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 1
LUJ
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
LUJ
2 - 0
CCO
41%
28%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
LUJ
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 1
MID
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CAA
2 - 1
ARM
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 1
VIC
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LAM
1 - 1
ARM
30%
25%
46%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 2
RPI
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |