Copa del Rey . 1/256
Global 0-1
CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
COM
1 - 0
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
2 - 2
DEP
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
AVI
1 - 1
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SIE
1 - 0
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
4 - 0
SMA
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
GRA
1 - 1
CEL
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 3
ALO
57%
25%
18%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
LEN
2 - 4
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 2
ARO
57%
25%
18%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ROB
1 - 1
CEL
53%
26%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |