CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 3
LUG
35%
29%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 2
PUE
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CDO
4 - 1
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
ULP
30%
29%
42%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LAN
1 - 1
LUG
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 1
RCF
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
COM
0 - 2
ALC
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 0
PPJ
43%
27%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
COB
1 - 1
ALC
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
RAY
21%
26%
54%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |