FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 1
THU
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
FCL
3 - 3
LUG
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
3 - 3
STG
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
YOB
3 - 0
LUG
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
ZUR
0 - 5
YOB
20%
22%
59%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 0
ZUR
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 1
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
ZUR
2 - 0
SER
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
THU
3 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |