FC Lugano vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GCZ
2 - 1
LUG
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NEX
2 - 1
LUG
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
STG
2 - 2
LUG
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 2
THU
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
THU
2 - 2
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 4
YOB
20%
22%
59%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
GCZ
0 - 2
THU
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
THU
4 - 1
SIO
38%
25%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |