FC Lugano vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
10º
3º
45
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 5
LUG
5%
12%
83%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
HBS
3 - 1
LUG
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 2
HBS
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
STU
3 - 0
STG
39%
23%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCR
0 - 15
STG
2%
6%
92%
|
78 | 27 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
SCB
2 - 4
STG
6%
12%
82%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STG
4 - 1
FCL
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GCZ
3 - 2
STG
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |