FC Lugano vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
THU
1 - 0
LUG
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
YOB
2 - 2
LUG
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 0
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
SIO
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
STG
2 - 1
SIO
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
GCZ
0 - 1
STG
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
STG
0 - 3
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
STG
1 - 2
FCL
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
THU
0 - 0
STG
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |