FC Lugano vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 0
STG
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
YOB
3 - 0
LUG
70%
18%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 0
LAU
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
FCM
0 - 3
LUG
6%
14%
80%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
SER
3 - 5
SIO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BAS
5 - 0
SER
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
KRI
2 - 3
SER
14%
19%
67%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 2
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
VEV
2 - 4
SER
4%
11%
84%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | 0 |