FC Lugano vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.3%
78.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
20.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
27.1%
0-2
20.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.4%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 0
WIN
60%
22%
17%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
RAP
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
ACS
1 - 9
LUG
2%
7%
91%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 2
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 1
SIO
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
INT
5 - 1
UDI
82%
13%
6%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
INT
3 - 1
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
INT
5 - 1
SAM
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 2
INT
10%
20%
70%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |